The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $25.62
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.