The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?
Other · resolves Nov 27 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on tsa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: tsa.gov — https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.