The market moved

-21.9ppin 24h · now

Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?

Other · resolves Nov 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.9pp shift. Resolution depends on the published data up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the published data up to that point — https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.