Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "gross" column on https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www — https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.