The market moved

-7.5ppin 24h · now 30¢

Will MrBeast hit 136 billion views by July 31?

Culture · resolves Jul 31 · vol $63.57

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @mrbeast — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @MrBeast — https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.