The market moved
-22.4ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Culture · resolves Aug 23 · vol $5.5K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.4pp shift. Resolution depends on @mrbeast — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @MrBeast — https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.