The market moved

+10.5ppin 24h · now 26¢

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 20 2026?

Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $803.51

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 26¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 35.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.