The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 18¢

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?

Business · resolves May 15 · vol $441.37

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 39.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.5pp · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026? | Orrery