The market moved

+12.0ppin 24h · now 48¢

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of August 10 2026?

Business · resolves Aug 14 · vol $262.42

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.