The market moved
+1.1ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Sports · resolves Dec 19 · vol $118.40
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.