The market moved

+63.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?

Other · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 63.9pp shift. Resolution depends on public statement by pelosi — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Public statement by Pelosi.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.