Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on data.giss.nasa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: data.giss.nasa.gov — https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.