The market moved
+14.5ppin 24h · now 23¢
Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05?
Politics · resolves Aug 4 · vol $487.06
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 23¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.