The market moved
-2.1ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Politics · resolves May 30 · vol $2.9K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://electoral.gov.mt/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.