The market moved

-18.4ppin 24h · now

Will Nevada be the last state to be called by the AP?

Politics · resolves Dec 10 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.4pp shift. Resolution depends on associated press — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Associated Press.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.