The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will New Popular Front win between 100 and 129 seats?
Politics · resolves Jul 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nfp — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: NFP — https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.