The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Will New York City record the first snowfall?

Weather · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0 — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.