The market moved
-0.7ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of August 3 2026?
Macro · resolves Aug 7 · vol $55.15
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.