The market moved

-19.5ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in August?

Macro · resolves Sep 1 · vol $1.79

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.