The market moved
+3.9ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Nihal Sarin Win EWC 2026 Chess?
Sports · open · vol $344.24
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://esportsworldcup.com).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.