The market moved

+15.8ppin 24h · now 37¢

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?

Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $12.34

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.8pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 33.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.