The market moved

-1.1ppin 24h · now 24¢

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?

Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $65.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 24¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 31.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.