The market moved
-11.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $213.41
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in central park, new york city between may 1 and may 31, 2026, 11:59pm et according — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.