Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in central park, new york city between january 1 and january 31, 2026, 11:59pm et a — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET a — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.