Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on data at market's inception, the warmest october was in 2015, when the average global land and ocean temperature was 1 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: data at market's inception, the warmest October was in 2015, when the average global land and ocean temperature was 1 — https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2021).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.