The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Oleg Kozaev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
Politics · resolves Sep 18 · vol $29.17
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://cikruo.ru/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.