The market moved

+62.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?

Politics · resolves Sep 17 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 62.5pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.