The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $238.52
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to "yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by openai by december 31, 2026, 11:59 pm — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.