The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 36¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $94.29
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.