The market moved
+48.9ppin 24h · now 82¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
AI · resolves Aug 31 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 82¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 48.9pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.