The market moved
+18.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.4pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.