The market moved
-0.9ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $1.7K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.