Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 93¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.