The market moved

+18.0ppin 24h · now 56¢

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by August 31?

Business · resolves Sep 1 · vol $136.51

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing — https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.