The market moved

-39.6ppin 24h · now

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the award for Best Soccer Player at the 2026 ESPY Awards?

Other · resolves Jul 15 · vol $269.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 39.6pp shift. Resolution depends on espn.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: espn.com — https://www.espn.com/espys/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.