The market moved

-21.0ppin 24h · now 16¢

Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Politics · resolves Jan 1 · vol $34.39

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato — http://senate.gov).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.