The market moved

-28.2ppin 24h · now

Will Pamela Evette win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Politics · resolves Jun 24 · vol $531.13

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 28.2pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://scvotes.gov/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.