The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 95¢
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Politics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $590.56
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 95¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.nec.go.kr/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.