The market moved
+5.0ppin 24h · now 65¢
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Politics · resolves Oct 5 · vol $2.1K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.