The market moved
+3.1ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another win Best Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?
Sports · resolves Feb 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.dga.org/awards/annual).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.