The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will PayPal say "Stash" during earnings call?
Business · resolves Jul 28 · vol $245.29
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of paypal currently scheduled to take place on july 28, 2026 at 8:00 am et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of PayPal currently scheduled to take place on July 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 8.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.