Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on est, the market will resolve to "no", as this means their vaccine is not definitively *first* — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: EST, the market will resolve to "No", as this means their vaccine is not definitively *first* — https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.