The market moved

-12.5ppin 24h · now

Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Politics · open · vol $37.18

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.