Will Poilievre say "Tariffs" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 83.0pp shift. Resolution depends on globalnews.ca — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: globalnews.ca — https://globalnews.ca/news/11095091/canada-election-2025-leaders-debates/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.