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Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve?

Science · resolves Dec 25 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on united nations — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: United Nations — https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.