The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?

Crypto · resolves May 25 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on princeton.edu — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: princeton.edu — https://www.princeton.edu/news/2024/11/26/fed-chair-jerome-powell-75-will-be-princetons-baccalaureate-speaker.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.