Will Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 45.0pp shift. Resolution depends on federalreserve.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: federalreserve.gov — https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.