The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address?

Politics · resolves Apr 28 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on this source https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: this source https://www — https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/presidential-documents-archive-guidebook/annual-messages-congress-the-state-the-union-0.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.