The market moved

-30.9ppin 24h · now

Will President Trump sign 7 pieces of legislation into law in May?

Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $724.56

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.9pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.whitehouse.gov/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.