The market moved
+41.0ppin 24h · now 92¢
Will President Trump sign 8 or more pieces of legislation into law in May?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $479.98
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 41.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.whitehouse.gov/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.